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How Did Condo Prices in Surrey Just Increase?

Surrey Condo Market Update (2026): Prices, Inventory & Where the Deals Are

The condo market in Surrey has been all over the place.
  • Investor condos struggling to sell
  • Some areas still declining
  • Other areas… actually going up
Yes—in this market, certain condo segments are already showing price increases.So what’s really going on?

The Big Divide: End Users vs Investors

Right now, the condo market is split into two completely different worlds:

Investor-Heavy Areas (Struggling)

  • Whalley / North Surrey
  • Smaller units
  • No parking
  • “Investor-style” layouts
What’s happening:
  • Prices falling
  • Sales volume collapsing
  • Investors exiting

End-User Areas (Holding or Rising)

  • South Surrey / White Rock
  • Larger units
  • Better locations
  • More livable layouts
What’s happening:
  • Prices stabilizing—or even rising
  • Stronger demand
  • Less investor influence

Prices: A Market Split in Real Time

Recent trends:
  • North Surrey: continuous decline
  • Central Surrey: still trending down
  • Cloverdale: softer decline
  • South Surrey / White Rock: slight increase recently
Key takeaway:
  • The condo market is not one market anymore
  • It’s multiple markets behaving very differently

The Reality Check: Many Owners Are Back to 2021 Prices

In North Surrey:
  • Prices are now back to late 2021 levels
  • Some owners (last 4–5 years) are:
    • At breakeven
    • Or underwater
And here’s the risk:
  • Another ~5% drop → back to 2018 pricing levels

Sales Activity: Still Extremely Weak

Recent data:
  • North Surrey sales: down ~30% year-over-year
  • One of the slowest markets in decades
But here’s the opportunity:
  • Buyers are getting deals
  • Especially in investor-heavy buildings
If you’re an end user:
  • This is where value exists right now

Listings: A Shift Is Happening

New listings:
  • North Surrey: down ~40%
  • Other areas: slightly down
What this suggests:
  • Many investors already sold
  • Others are now holding and waiting

Inventory: Still Elevated (But Improving)

Key trends:
  • North Surrey inventory: down ~25% from last year
  • Still historically high—but improving
  • Central Surrey: inventory still building
Important context:
  • There are simply more condos than ever before
  • So higher inventory is partly structural

Months of Supply: Buyer’s Market Conditions

Current conditions:
  • Surrey: ~12 months supply (strong buyer’s market)
  • North Surrey: still buyer’s market, but improving
  • South Surrey: borderline buyer’s market
  • Cloverdale: balanced
Key takeaway:
  • Buyers still have leverage
  • But the worst conditions may be behind us

Pricing Reality: How Negotiations Actually Work

Two key stats:

Original Price vs Sale Price

  • Typically ~5% below original list

Current Price vs Sale Price

  • Usually only 3–4% below asking
What this means:
  • Big lowball offers rarely work
  • Sellers adjust price before accepting deep discounts

Price Per Square Foot: Important (But Limited)

Typical ranges:
  • North Surrey: ~$600–$640/sq ft
  • Cloverdale: under ~$600/sq ft
But be careful:
  • Huge differences based on:
    • Building type (wood vs concrete)
    • Age
    • Unit size
    • Floor level
Use this metric only within tight comparables.

Days on Market: The Real Indicator

Current averages:
  • ~40–50 days across most areas
The rule:
  • If your condo isn’t selling in ~40 days → it’s overpriced
This is consistent across:
  • Condos
  • Townhouses
  • Detached homes

Why Some Condos Won’t Sell

The hardest units right now:
  • No parking
  • Poor layouts (no real bedroom)
  • Investor-focused designs
These are:
  • The most oversupplied
  • The least desirable to end users

Where the Opportunities Are

If you’re buying in Surrey:
  • North Surrey = best value
  • End-user buildings = safest bets
  • Larger, livable units = strongest demand

Final Thought

The condo market isn’t “bad”—it’s rebalancing.
  • Investor demand is gone
  • End-user demand is taking over
  • Poor product is being exposed
And that’s actually healthy.Because moving forward:
  • The market will reward livability
  • Not speculation

Written by:
Steve Karrasch PREC
Karrasch Real Properties Team
Macdonald Realty